Good Morning - Today is: Thursday, 19 February 2026 10:38:43 NZDT
Current: 17.4°C, Max: 18.9°C, Min: 13.3°C. It feels like 16.0°C
FORECAST: A mix of clouds and sun this morning then becoming windy with rain developing this afternoon. High around 20C. Winds WNW at 25 to 40 km/h. Chance of rain 80%. It feels like 16.0°C. A windproof and 2 clothing layers recommended.
Station Forecast: Becoming fine | Sunrise: 06:47 | Sunset: 20:15 | Dawn: 06:19 | Dusk: 20:43
Weather Forecast
Temperature : Current trend is Rising, changing by 0.7 °C/hr 17.4°C, 86%   Pressure : Current trend is Rising slowly, changing by 0.2 hPa/hr 1005.8hPa
Based upon today's weather there is a Low Fire Danger (restrictions may apply)
Fire Danger
Wind Speed :  WNW  Current wind speed is Gentle breeze (F3) from WNW (284°) 15km/h   Wind Gust : Current trend is Steady 34km/h
Air Quality :  11 AQI  3ug/m3   Rainfall : Current trend is Falling 0.4mm
Sun Light : 21.9kLux, 1.2hrs   Solar UV :  1.0UVI  173W/m2
Last weather station contact: Thursday, 19 February 2026 at 10:39:10. Updated in seconds

 The Palmy Sun: Palmy Weather Newsroom
  News  

19 Feb 2026 9:52AM: Why are New Zealand's cicadas so loud this time of year - and is it dangerous? (rnz.co.nz) 1/10 19 Feb 2026 5:27AM: Reality bites for job seekers as unemployment climbs (rnz.co.nz) 2/10 19 Feb 2026 8:41AM: Manhunt after clash between rival gang members leaves four people hurt, one critical in Christchurch (rnz.co.nz) 3/10 19 Feb 2026 6:58AM: Little River residents question why Lake Forsyth wasn't opened to sea before flooding (rnz.co.nz) 4/10 19 Feb 2026 8:46AM: SPCA calls for reinstated funding for desexing after deadly dog attack (rnz.co.nz) 5/10 19 Feb 2026 6:39AM: Auckland's west coast residents fear their beaches will become next rockpool harvesting hotspot (rnz.co.nz) 6/10 19 Feb 2026 9:16AM: The biggest challenge to curbing drownings after 78 deaths in a year (rnz.co.nz) 7/10 19 Feb 2026 4:59AM: Food helicoptered to more than 200 South Wairarapa residents cut off by road (rnz.co.nz) 8/10 19 Feb 2026 8:01AM: State Highway 35 to partially reopen after landslides led to weeks-long closure (rnz.co.nz) 9/10 19 Feb 2026 4:59AM: Independent investigation needed into historical allegations of abuse at St Bede's College - Chief Victims Advisor (rnz.co.nz) 10/10


Manawatū Fire Danger Risk Rating
Based upon today's weather there is a Low Fire Danger (restrictions may apply)
The fire danger information displayed on this page is updated daily at 12:00pm and is based upon the current weather at this time. Therefore the readings may be higher or lower than the overall fire danger in the Manawatū/Wanganui region. Check with your local council for the latest permits and information before lighting any fires. More information at Fire and Emergency New Zealand.
Click here to find out more information on what the data, abbreviations and graphs represent

"Check it's alright before you light" at: https://www.checkitsalright.nz
Official ground condition information: https://fireweather.niwa.co.nz/region/Manawatu-Whanganui


Fire Danger Levels Index
Low
(LW)
Moderate
(MD)
High
(HI)
Very High
(VH)
Extreme
(EX)

Current Readings
Last update: 18/02/2026 1:01:28 pm
Location: Palmy Weather, Palmerston North, New Zealand
Drought Days: 2 days Rain Days: 0 days (0.00mm)
FWIFF DCSF DCGF DCCBI DCCBIBUIISIDCDMCFFMCTempHumWindRain
5.8 MD EX MD LW 12.2 22 3.3 229 13 83.5 22.0 57 13.0 0.00

Past 30 Day Readings
Date
(at 12pm)
Temp.
ºC
Hum.
%
Wind
kmph
Rainfall
mm
FFMCDMCDCISIBUIFWIFWI DCFFDCSFDCGFDC
18/02/202622.05713.00.0083.5132293.3225.8LWMDEXMD
17/02/202620.8619.00.0073.6112221.1191.0LWLWVHMD
16/02/202620.37016.023.9050.292150.4160.3LWLWHILW
15/02/202613.17413.01.0066.2182751.1322.1LWLWVHLW
14/02/202620.6804.03.7056.3182700.4300.5LWLWHILW
13/02/202628.0584.00.8085.3242702.7396.7LWMDEXLW
12/02/202624.8605.00.0086.2212623.2357.4LWMDEXLW
11/02/202622.9668.00.0085.3192543.3327.1LWMDEXLW
10/02/202622.8646.00.0085.3172473.0296.2LWMDEXLW
9/02/202622.1659.00.0085.1152403.3266.4LWMDEXLW
8/02/202621.9629.00.0085.1142333.3246.0LWMDEXLW
7/02/202622.07118.00.0083.7122264.4217.2LWMDEXLW
6/02/202619.76514.00.0082.6102193.1184.8LWMDEXLW
5/02/202622.3517.00.0077.292131.3161.1LWLWVHLW
4/02/202619.35910.08.0052.262060.3110.2LWLWMDLW
3/02/202618.79111.05.1043.692170.1160.1LWLWMDLW
2/02/202618.2849.00.0082.6142212.4244.4LWMDEXLW
1/02/202620.05813.00.0086.0132144.6238.0MDMDEXLW
31/01/202621.57017.00.0085.8112085.5208.6MDMDEXLW
30/01/202622.6528.00.0086.7102004.0186.0LWMDEXLW
29/01/202620.86320.00.0084.271925.1146.5LWMDEXLW
28/01/202624.1588.00.0080.361851.7101.2LWLWEXLW
27/01/202619.87310.01.8062.931770.860.4LWLWHILW
26/01/202620.77312.05.8052.331700.450.2LWLWHILW
25/01/202619.57423.011.1052.241730.770.3LWLWHILW
24/01/202617.06325.012.3057.561901.2100.7LWLWVHLW
23/01/202621.46723.00.5072.092122.1172.9LWLWEXLW
22/01/202620.18813.010.3039.982040.1140.1LWLWMDLW
21/01/202617.78113.00.3083.2142213.2255.9LWMDEXLW
20/01/202619.05513.00.0085.7132144.4237.7LWMDEXLW

This Years Statistic Data as at 12.00pm Daily
  ºC - Temperature     kmph - Windspeed     m - Distance     mm - Rainfall     Tonnes/Ha - Fuel Load  
  Rainfall:  147.10 mm         Rain Days:  22         Drought Days:  27         Day Rainfall High:  30.80 mm, 15/01/2026  
Temperature High
Humidity High
Wind Speed High
FFMC High
DMC High
DC High
ISI High
BUI High
FWI High
CBI High
Angstrom High
FMI High
FFDI HIgh
GFDI High
DF High
BKDI High
28.0
95
26.0
87.1
34
316
7.1
53
17.1
57.1
1.6
11.2
8.0
0.0
8
16
13/02/2026
15/01/2026
11/01/2026
8/01/2026
9/01/2026
14/01/2026
11/01/2026
9/01/2026
11/01/2026
5/02/2026
5/02/2026
5/02/2026
11/01/2026
18/02/2026
4/01/2026
14/01/2026
Temperature Low
Humidity Low
Wind Speed Low
FFMC Low
DMC Low
DC Low
ISI Low
BUI High
FWI Low
CBI Low
Angstrom Low
FMI Low
FFDI Low
GFDI Low
DF Low
BKDI Low
13.1
50
4.0
18.3
3
170
0.0
5
0.0
-1.3
5.4
28.4
0.0
0.0
0
0
13/02/2026
15/01/2026
11/01/2026
8/01/2026
9/01/2026
14/01/2026
11/01/2026
9/01/2026
11/01/2026
5/02/2026
5/02/2026
5/02/2026
11/01/2026
18/02/2026
4/01/2026
14/01/2026

Statistic Data Since Records Began on 5/06/2011
  ºC - Temperature     kmph - Windspeed     m - Distance     mm - Rainfall     Tonnes/Ha - Fuel Load  
FFMC High
DMC High
DC High
ISI High
BUI High
FWI High
CBI High
Angstrom High
FMI High
FFDI HIgh
GFDI High
DF High
BKDI High
97.0
121
770
36.1
151
45.9
233.1
0.6
6.3
14.6
2.2
2.2
95
2/07/2016
17/03/2013
27/03/2025
2/07/2016
17/03/2013
2/02/2020
19/11/2023
3/03/2016
19/11/2023
8/01/2013
24/02/2025
24/02/2025
5/06/2011
FFMC Low
DMC Low
DC Low
ISI Low
BUI High
FWI Low
CBI Low
Angstrom Low
FMI Low
FFDI Low
GFDI Low
DF Low
BKDI Low
1.6
0
0
0.0
0
0.0
-4.5
11.2
42.5
N/A
0.0
0.0
0
16/07/2012
5/07/2025
18/09/2016
16/01/2026
5/07/2025
16/01/2026
18/09/2016
18/09/2016
18/09/2016
N/A
18/02/2026
18/02/2026
16/02/2026

CBI vs FWI Graph
TEMPERATURE vs FWI Graph
HUMIDITY vs FWI Graph
WIND vs FWI Graph
RAIN vs FWI Graph
BUI vs FWI Graph
DC vs FWI Graph
DMC vs FWI Graph
FFMC vs FWI Graph
ISI vs FWI Graph

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Explanation of Fire Weather Index Indices

FWI-ISI


Red Hashed Area The red hashed area indicates the Fire Danger high extreme band.

FFMC (Fine Fuel Moisture Code) This is a numerical rating of the moisture content of surface litter and other cured fine fuels. It shows the relative ease of ignition and flammability of fine fuels. The moisture content of fine fuels is very sensitive to the weather. Even a day of rain, or of fine and windy weather, will significantly affect the FFMC rating. The system uses a time lag of two-thirds of a day to accurately measure the moisture content in fine fuels. The FFMC rating is on a scale of 0 to 99. Any figure above 70 is high, and above 90 is extreme.

DMC (Duff Moisture Code) DMC is a numerical rating of the average moisture content of loosely compacted organic layers of moderate depth. The code indicates the depth that fire will burn in moderate duff layers and medium size woody material. Duff layers take longer than surface fuels to dry out but weather conditions over the past couple of weeks will significantly affect the DMC. The system applies a time lag of 12 days to calculate the DMC. A DMC rating of more than 30 is dry, and above 40 indicates that intensive burning will occur in the duff and medium fuels. Burning off operations should not be carried out when the DMC rating is above 40.

DC (Drought Code) The DC is a numerical rating of the moisture content of deep, compact, organic layers. It is a useful indicator of seasonal drought and shows the likelihood of fire involving the deep duff layers and large logs. A long period of dry weather (the system uses 52 days) is needed to dry out these fuels and affect the Drought Code. A DC rating of 200 is high, and 300 or more is extreme indicating that fire will involve deep sub-surface and heavy fuels. Burning off should not be permitted when the DC rating is above 300.

ISI: (Initial Spread Index) This indicates the rate fire will spread in its early stages. It is calculated from the FFMC rating and the wind factor.
The open-ended ISI scale starts at zero and a rating of 10 indicates high rate of spread shortly after ignition. A rating of 16 or more indicates extremely rapid rate of spread.

BUI (Build Up Index) This index shows the amount of fuel available for combustion, indicating how the fire will develop after initial spread. It is calculated from the Duff Moisture Code and the Drought Code.
The BUI scale starts at zero and is open-ended. A rating above 40 is high, above 60 is extreme.

FWI (Fire Weather Index) Information from the ISI and BUI is combined to provide a numerical rating of fire intensity - the Fire Weather Index. The FWI indicates the likely intensity of a fire.
The FWI is divided into four fire danger classes:
Low 0 - 7 Moderate 8 - 16 High l7 - 31 Extreme 32+

FFDC (Forest Fire Danger Code) Based on predicted generated "fire intensity (kW/m²)" in forest type vegetation (pine, beech). This code denotes how difficult it would be to control a fire in this vegetation type should one start. (Low, Moderate, High, Very High, Extreme)

SFDC (Scrub Fire Danger Code) Based on predicted generated "fire intensity (kW/m²)" in scrub type vegetation (manuka, gorse, broom). This code denotes how difficult it would be to control a fire in this vegetation type should one start. (Low, Moderate, High, Very High, Extreme)

GFDC (Grass Fire Danger Code) Based on predicted generated "fire intensity (kW/m²)" in grass type vegetation (dry grass, tussock). This code denotes how difficult it would be to control a fire in this vegetation type should one start. (Low, Moderate, High, Very High, Extreme)

CBI (Chandler Burning Index) The Chandler Burning Index is a Fire Rating System primarily used in North America. The Chandler Burning Index (CBI) uses the air temperature and relative humidity to calculate a numerical index of fire danger. That number is then equated to the Fire Danger severity of either extreme, very high, high, moderate, or low. It's based solely on weather conditions, with no adjustment for fuel moisture.

BKDI (Byram-Keetch Drought Index) Current Byram-Keetch Drought Index. [mm]. (This is identical to the KBDI.) Consider the topmost layers of soil such that their field capacity is 200 mm of available water. The index estimates how much effective rainfall is needed to saturate this depth of soil at any time. Moisture is lost from the soil only by evaporation due to temperature effects. The first 5 mm of rainfall is lost to the canopy. There is a problem if any of the rainfall is lost as surface run-off.

ANGSTROM INDEX (Angstrom Index) The Angtstrom Index (Angstrom) is used primarily in Sweden, it uses the air temperature and relative humidity to calculate a numerical index of fire danger. That number is then equated to the Fire Danger severity of either Extreme, High, Moderate, or Low. It is based solely on weather conditions, with no adjustment for fuel moisture. The lower the number, the higher the fire risk.
Angstrom Index = (H/ 20)+ ((29 ?T) /10)
H = Relative Humidity as % (0-100)
T = Temperature in Degrees Celcius.
     > 4.0  Fire occurrence unlikely
4.0 - 2.5  Fire conditions unfavourable
2.5 - 2.0  Fire conditions favourable
     < 2.0  Fire occurrence very likely

FFM Forest Fuel Moisture

FFH Forest Flame Height

GROS Grass Rate Of Spread

DF Drought Factor